Timothy Besley, Thiemo Fetzer, and Hannes Mueller use two novel datasets to separate the effect of an event at tourist destinations from the coverage of that event at the home countries of tourists.
Hannes Mueller and Christopher Rauh present a new method of predicting conflict through news topics which are generated automatically from a topic model.
Hannes Mueller and Augustin Tapsoba suggest that institutional checks and balances could play a role in preventing violent conflict by restricting ethnic favoritism.
A new study by Lídia Farré, Francesco Fasani, and Hannes Mueller suggests that an increase in the unemployment rate, caused by the collapse of the Spanish construction sector, led to a drastic increase in mental disorders.
If 1000 people were killed in conflict India, a country with a population of more than 1.2 billion inhabitants, would this have the same impact on the country as a whole as 1000 victims in Nicaragua, a country of 6 million inhabitants? The intuitive answer might be no, but this is exactly what most of the conflict literature is doing. Hannes Mueller makes a case for rethinking the approach of using a threshold of an absolute number of battle victims.